Maybe America is only 37 percent stupid

by lestro

John McCain calls that 37 percent his base.

A new NY Times/CBS poll says that by a margin of 65-37 percent, Americans believe Barack Obama is more likely to bring change to Washington than John McCain.

Still a stupidly high number given the facts and all (and up from 28 percent before the conventions), but not as high, I am sure, as the Republicans had hoped.

But two weeks after the Republican convention, with public sentiment starting to settle into place, there are indications that Ms. Palin might not be accomplishing what Mr. McCain had hoped in choosing her.

A New York Times/CBS News poll this week found that Ms. Palin had accomplished one crucial goal for Mr. McCain: She helped raise the enthusiasm level markedly among Republicans: 47 percent of his Republican supporters said they were enthusiastic about the ticket, twice as much as before.

But so far, the poll suggests, the boost has not gone far beyond that. The poll found that even now, voters are much more likely to identify Mr. Obama — and not Mr. McCain — as someone who would bring change to Washington. He is widely viewed as someone who would continue or expand President Bush’s policies in office.

Ya think?

But to me at least, there is a bit of a surprise in the numbers:

Polls taken immediately after the convention had found evidence of a sharp increase in support for Mr. McCain among white women, but this poll suggests that that effect was, so far at least, limited. White women were evenly divided between Mr. McCain and Mr. Obama; before the conventions, Mr. McCain led Mr. Obama among white women, 44 percent to 37 percent.

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“Just Say No” to Sarah Palin

by lestro

Sarah Palin will be McCain’s undoing. Period.

On Sunday, The Washington Post quoted McCain campaign manager Rick Davis as saying the FBI conducted a background check of Palin.

But Monday, the FBI told the Atlantic Monthly no such check took place.

This appears to be what we in the business call a “lie.”

“In general, we do not do vetting for political campaigns except as it might regard investigations needed for security clearances,” the magazine’s Web site quoted John Miller, the chief FBI spokesman. If the agency had conducted a security check of Palin, it wouldn’t have shared it with the campaign, the magazine said.

But why is Sarah Palin the key to the undoing of the McCain campaign?

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