Once again, Arab insurgents distract a superpower from the obvious threat… The other superpower

by lestro

In the future, when alien anthropologists or hyper-intelligent insect archaeologists are trying to piece together the end of what we call ‘human civilization,’ they will undoubtedly come to one conclusion:

It was the fault of the Arabs. But not in the way that one might expect.

After 50 years of posturing and bluffing and threats of mutual assured destruction, the Cold War between the United States and the Soviet Union finally seemed to burn itself out in the late 80s. The Soviet Union broke apart and the Doomsday Clock finally turned back a few ticks as everyone was now almost all on the same side.

World War III, at least as we expected it, had been averted.

But the new threat of Islamofacism stepped in to fill the gap, an ideology of destruction and hate, premised on a bastardization of a religion and a total lack of respect for nation states, their leadership and their territorial boundaries.

Eventually, all eyes turned to this rising force as the new potential enemy for World War III. At first, they attacked, we ignored. They attacked again, we swatted at them like flies. They attacked again and we continued to pooh-pooh and downplay the threat to our national security. Then, on September 11, 2001, the little bastards went too far and suddenly everyone – including, finally, the Bush Administration – was paying attention.

Finally we had a new enemy. Finally we could crank our war machine back up. The World War that we had spent 50 years preparing for was finally on our doorstep.

It didn’t matter that it wasn’t the war we expected or that they didn’t play by the rules, we took it to them.

Fer us or agin us. And agin us gets bombed.

If World War III was going to play out, it was obviously going to be between the Civilized World and the Fundamentalist Islamic World.

Made sense at the time.

But history, says the cliché, is written by the victors. And that means much of the story often gets left out. And as recent events in Georgia have shown us, just because we counted out the Soviets and that version of WWIII doesn’t mean they did.

We took our eye off the Russians in favor of the Arabs and it may end up costing us. Just like it did them.

It is often put forth that Ronald Reagan won the Cold War by upping the pressure on Russia by continuing to build weapons as well as pressuring them to free their people and open their markets in order to remain a power.

But an oft-overlooked section of history is the Soviet defeat in Afghanistan. In 1979, Russia invaded their then-neighbor to the south, but were turned away in 1989 by a rag-tag militia of homegrown and imported guerrilla fighters known as the mujahadeen and led in part by rich Saudi named Osama bin Laden and his american-bought arms.

After the Reds were run out of Afghanistan, we were done with the Arabs (there’s no oil in Afghanistan, what did we care?) and that made them pissy. Meanwhile, the loss was a precursor of what was to come for the Soviets, destroying the aura of invincibility that surrounded their military and undeniably playing a role in the downfall of their empire.

More than a decade later, with Russia clearly out of the picture, the scorned bin Laden and his re-grouped and re-financed rag-tag band of guerrillas, now known as Al Qaida, attacked the United States on its home turf, making a huge statement by crashing a hijacked jetliner into each of the Twin Towers and the Pentagon, as well as hijacking a fourth that was taken down over Pennsylvania.

The United States responded by invading bin Laden’s home base of Afghanistan and then decided to attack Iraq, just for good measure. The President had a new pre-emptive strike doctrine he was itchy to use and Iraq seemed like the easiest ass to kick.

But all of a sudden, things bogged down again. The US defeated the “military” of both nations in damn near record time, but the Arabs themselves continued fighting tooth and nail against the occupation by white folks. Again.

And frankly, for the past several years, they have sufficiently occupied the US Military to the point where we can’t seem to get our shit together to do anything besides tread water in both nations.

Meanwhile, Russia is being run by an old KGB hand, a guy whose job it was to make political dissidents disappear. An incredibly smart and apparently deceptive fellow by the name of Vladimir Putin, who saw that the new President of the United States was a pushover and suckered him in to thinking Vlad was a good guy.

Seeing that once again the Arabs had destroyed the aura of invincibility of a superpower’s military, and with the US sufficiently distracted, Russia made its move, launching WWIII the same way it launched the Cold War: by invading its neighbors under false pretenses.

And like World War I, the “War To End All Wars,” it looks like an alliance system may cause the dominoes to fall again, forcing nations to once again choose sides between the US and Russia.

Only this time it looks like roles are reversed.

Russia holds all the cards this time around as the US economy sags and oil, devil oil, has become the main measure of global wealth and power. Russia, an energy and resource powerhouse on its own is also a larger player in the middle east oil market, which is located almost entirely within its sphere of influence.

Because of its own energy stockpiles, Russia has never been seen as a marauder for Arab oil supplies. Russia has ulterior motives, undoubtedly, but it does not appear to be oil and their obvious dislike for and 50-year history of opposition to the US makes them quite popular in the region.

And Russia is capitalizing again. Once again, while we were distracted with damn Arabs, Russia launched World War III, first with a cyber-attack and then a massive military retaliation to an internal conflict within the territory of one of its neighbors, a conflict the Russians may even have provoked for just this purpose.

With the US agreeing to put missile defense systems in former Warsaw Pact (Soviet) nations right along the Russian border, which happens to be an act that Russia has recently said would cause “not diplomatic but military-technological methods” in response, it’s really beginning to look like the de ja vu all over again.

And this time, the key distraction that helped us win it the first time, the Arabs, are not fer us, but agin us.

Could be interesting.

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11 Responses to Once again, Arab insurgents distract a superpower from the obvious threat… The other superpower

  1. leapsecond says:

    I think this World War III will have been mainly caused by us, not them. We, the great US of A, funded the Georgian military. We refused a Russian suggestion to put our missile shield in Azerbaijan, but instead put it in Poland, knowing full well that it would anger the Russians. Our leader is idiotic enough to suggest that “nations don’t invade other nations”. A lot of this situation is our doing. I do think Russia crossed the line in their occupation of Georgia, but that hardly warrants the “there will be consequences for Russia” speech coming from American leaders.

    So, I disagree. The Arabs distract a superpower from the obvious threat: themselves.

  2. lestro says:

    You are half-right. We allowed ourselves to get distracted, but if this is world war iii, historians will say it was started when russia invaded Georgia and the US responded by arming it allies in the region.
    Just like WWI was started by an assassination that dragged the entire world into a war through the system of old world alliances, it will be the alliance system that draws everyone in because of the reaction to the invasion and occupation of georgia.

    the argument is: if we weren’t so distracted in the middle east (current US foreign policy is dictated by generals in Iraq who are concerned only about Iraq, not the bigger picture) perhaps we would have noticed that the soviets have been consolidating power in moscow…

  3. leapsecond says:

    Actually, if this is indeed World War III, then it was started when Georgia invaded Russia with a US/Israel trained army.

    I agree with the rest of the argument, though, on the alliance system. Putin’s tried to move power to the Prime Minister, and when he couldn’t, he just has Medvedev, his protegé, step in. On the other hand, Putin is wildly popular in Russia because he fixed the disaster that was Yeltsin’s term as president. Putin was elected by democracy, and we like democracy, no?

  4. when did Georgia invade Russia?

    This is a timeline put together by the Guardian:

    http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2008/aug/08/georgia.russia5

    I don’t see anything about that, but I suppose it could depend on how you define South Ossetia.

  5. lestro says:

    When did Georgia invade Russia? Russia invaded Georgia after Georgia sent troops into a semi-autonomous region that sides with Russia. Georgia still hasn’t invaded Russia.

    And we like democracy, but then again, i am not entirely convinced what’s been going on in Russia actually counts as a democracy…

  6. leapsecond says:

    Ah, my bad, I meant to say South Ossetia. Sorry.

  7. here’s a bit of an update about Russia’s response to Poland and the US missile shield:

    … the risk of a new era of east-west confrontation triggered by Russia’s invasion of Georgia heightened yesterday when Moscow reserved the right to launch a nuclear attack on Poland because it agreed to host US rockets as part of the Pentagon’s missile shield.

    … “By deploying, Poland is exposing itself to a strike – 100%,” warned Colonel General Anatoly Nogovitsyn. He added that Russia’s security doctrine allowed it to use nuclear weapons against an active ally of a nuclear power such as America.

    http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2008/aug/16/georgia.russia2

    and I am surprised that Poland appears to believe a US promise about a “mutual security pact” after what has been going on this past week…

    In return for hosting 10 interceptor rockets said to be intended to destroy any eventual ballistic missile attacks from Iran, Poland is to receive a battery of US Patriot missiles for its air defences and has won a mutual security pact with Washington.

    I really hadn’t appreciated how nice it was to not worry so much about the threat of nuclear war until these recent events underscored how blissful ignorance can be…

  8. k@th says:

    it was the “other” guy’s fault. it always is. isn’t it.

  9. leapsecond says:

    I still don’t know why we turned down Russia’s offer of putting our missile shield in Azerbaijan last year. Well, maybe I do: we still distrust the Russians.

    I understand that Putin’s an ex-KGB and very… shall we say, “deceptive”, but I think we would’ve done well to put the shield in Azerbaijan, which borders Iran.

  10. The International Herald Tribune reports on Sept 18 2007:

    American technical experts spent Tuesday inspecting a Russian radar station in Azerbaijan, but the director of the Pentagon’s missile defense program emphatically stated that the Soviet-era early warning system was incapable of replacing an antimissile tracking radar proposed for the Czech Republic.

    The director of the Missile Defense Agency, Lieutenant General Henry Obering, pressed the Kremlin to drop its objections to American proposals for 10 antimissile interceptors in Poland and for a radar in the Czech Republic. In a speech here, the general urged Moscow to link its radar in Azerbaijan to the American system in Central Europe to assist collective security.

    The visit to Azerbaijan by a high-level delegation of missile experts was a response to a proposal from President Vladimir Putin of Russia that the United States drop plans for the new construction in Central Europe and to use instead the Russian radar in a system to defend against a future Iranian threat.

    http://www.iht.com/articles/2007/09/18/europe/missile.php

  11. Pingback: The end of the Iraq War « The Church of the Apocalyptic Kiwi

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